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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


SEPTEMBER 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.5% to 79,961 in September 2004. When compared with September 2003 (78,403) the trend estimate has shown an increase of 2.0%.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a trend increase of 0.4% for September 2004. Sports utility vehicle sales increased 1.4%, continuing the increasing trend since September 2003. Sales of other new vehicles increased 0.1% in September 2004.

All states and territories, excluding the Australian Capital Territory, recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in September 2004.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles rose 3.0% to 81,354 in September 2004. Passenger vehicle sales increased 3.4% to 49,852 and sales of sports utility vehicles increased 1.7% to 15,309. Sales of other new vehicles increased 2.9% to 16,193 in September 2004.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 8 and 9.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Sports utility vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change passenger vehicles (%)	Change sports utility vehicles (%)	Change other vehicles (%)	Change total vehicles (%)
Original
2003	July	51,450	13,102	14,969	79,521	-9.9	-16.0	-22.7	-13.6
	August	49,869	12,181	14,123	76,173	-3.1	-7.0	-5.7	-4.2
	September	51,749	11,590	14,452	77,791	3.8	-4.9	2.3	2.1
	October	52,180	12,318	14,727	79,225	0.8	6.3	1.9	1.8
	November	48,482	12,892	14,738	76,112	-7.1	4.7	0.1	-3.9
	December	49,834	13,296	14,656	77,786	2.8	3.1	-0.6	2.2
2004	January	40,715	12,291	11,791	64,797	-18.3	-7.6	-19.5	-16.7
	February	47,876	12,865	15,136	75,877	17.6	4.7	28.4	17.1
	March	53,728	15,005	17,313	86,046	12.2	16.6	14.4	13.4
	April	44,079	12,351	14,875	71,305	-18.0	-17.7	-14.1	-17.1
	May	46,168	15,052	17,059	78,279	4.7	21.9	14.7	9.8
	June	58,284	17,981	20,947	97,212	26.2	19.5	22.8	24.2
	July	46,724	14,442	15,869	77,035	-19.8	-19.7	-24.2	-20.8
	August	48,649	14,910	15,685	79,244	4.1	3.2	-1.2	2.9
	September	49,911	14,715	15,826	80,452	2.6	-1.3	0.9	1.5
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	July	50,120	12,586	14,914	77,620	-0.3	-4.3	5.1	-0.0
	August	51,315	12,733	14,617	78,665	2.4	1.2	-2.0	1.3
	September	52,190	12,632	14,873	79,695	1.7	-0.8	1.8	1.3
	October	49,420	12,653	15,140	77,213	-5.3	0.2	1.8	-3.1
	November	48,448	13,114	14,910	76,472	-2.0	3.6	-1.5	-1.0
	December	46,075	13,124	14,892	74,091	-4.9	0.1	-0.1	-3.1
2004	January	49,605	13,950	15,669	79,224	7.7	6.3	5.2	6.9
	February	50,360	13,310	16,011	79,681	1.5	-4.6	2.2	0.6
	March	49,107	13,496	16,352	78,955	-2.5	1.4	2.1	-0.9
	April	48,236	13,264	15,919	77,419	-1.8	-1.7	-2.6	-1.9
	May	48,112	14,579	16,209	78,900	-0.3	9.9	1.8	1.9
	June	49,861	14,582	15,413	79,856	3.6	0.0	-4.9	1.2
	July	47,393	14,685	15,993	78,071	-4.9	0.7	3.8	-2.2
	August	48,217	15,053	15,732	79,002	1.7	2.5	-1.6	1.2
	September	49,852	15,309	16,193	81,354	3.4	1.7	2.9	3.0
Trend
2003	July	51,019	12,770	14,527	78,316	1.1	0.0	1.8	1.1
	August	51,139	12,743	14,719	78,601	0.2	-0.2	1.3	0.4
	September	50,816	12,747	14,840	78,403	-0.6	0.0	0.8	-0.3
	October	50,246	12,847	14,956	78,049	-1.1	0.8	0.8	-0.5
	November	49,625	13,006	15,105	77,736	-1.2	1.2	1.0	-0.4
	December	49,093	13,179	15,325	77,597	-1.1	1.3	1.5	-0.2
2004	January	48,800	13,339	15,590	77,729	-0.6	1.2	1.7	0.2
	February	48,766	13,481	15,838	78,085	-0.1	1.1	1.6	0.5
	March	48,841	13,646	15,989	78,476	0.2	1.2	1.0	0.5
	April	48,856	13,855	16,029	78,740	0.0	1.5	0.3	0.3
	May	48,713	14,133	15,979	78,825	-0.3	2.0	-0.3	0.1
	June	48,541	14,452	15,907	78,900	-0.4	2.3	-0.5	0.1
	July	48,529	14,765	15,874	79,168	-0.0	2.2	-0.2	0.3
	August	48,615	15,042	15,874	79,531	0.2	1.9	0.0	0.5
	September	48,818	15,255	15,888	79,961	0.4	1.4	0.1	0.5

		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)
Original
2003	July	26,983	21,248	15,716	5,298	6,973	1,407	635	1,261	79,521
	August	25,391	19,799	15,248	5,263	7,048	1,589	555	1,280	76,173
	September	25,738	21,200	15,293	5,222	6,894	1,639	593	1,212	77,791
	October	25,533	21,337	15,521	5,430	7,487	2,008	607	1,302	79,225
	November	25,099	20,254	15,058	5,214	6,925	1,717	630	1,215	76,112
	December	25,113	21,071	15,265	5,404	7,161	1,860	593	1,319	77,786
2004	January	21,216	16,857	13,403	4,334	6,249	1,193	498	1,047	64,797
	February	24,955	19,727	15,901	5,059	7,113	1,297	686	1,139	75,877
	March	28,118	22,137	18,611	5,561	8,086	1,343	912	1,278	86,046
	April	23,033	19,083	14,831	4,670	6,529	1,229	812	1,118	71,305
	May	25,649	20,106	16,373	5,215	7,296	1,513	918	1,209	78,279
	June	31,438	23,929	22,026	6,436	8,969	1,982	958	1,474	97,212
	July	25,031	19,410	17,141	4,949	7,228	1,449	646	1,181	77,035
	August	24,795	20,850	17,269	5,414	7,513	1,585	677	1,141	79,244
	September	25,241	20,821	17,188	5,289	8,177	1,855	739	1,142	80,452
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	July	25,843	20,755	15,225	5,247	7,168	1,502	643	1,237	77,620
	August	26,459	20,498	15,667	5,322	7,234	1,553	606	1,326	78,665
	September	26,668	21,214	15,641	5,377	7,259	1,590	681	1,265	79,695
	October	24,813	20,300	15,711	5,323	7,198	1,985	622	1,261	77,213
	November	24,684	20,350	15,581	5,271	7,102	1,615	647	1,222	76,472
	December	24,316	20,011	14,588	5,109	6,944	1,251	630	1,242	74,091
2004	January	26,088	20,845	16,259	5,381	7,243	1,536	648	1,224	79,224
	February	26,582	20,708	16,472	5,212	7,198	1,542	757	1,210	79,681
	March	25,734	20,521	16,761	5,166	7,368	1,409	789	1,207	78,955
	April	25,212	20,393	16,187	5,123	7,053	1,483	763	1,205	77,419
	May	25,376	20,395	16,786	5,227	7,584	1,545	780	1,207	78,900
	June	25,567	20,369	17,615	5,299	7,212	1,845	736	1,213	79,856
	July	25,218	19,615	17,164	5,028	7,606	1,564	668	1,208	78,071
	August	24,924	20,599	17,112	5,318	7,640	1,538	736	1,135	79,002
	September	25,536	20,705	17,451	5,361	8,411	1,875	825	1,190	81,354
Trend
2003	July	26,268	20,818	15,329	5,238	7,179	1,546	651	1,287	78,316
	August	26,259	20,856	15,455	5,283	7,226	1,595	640	1,287	78,601
	September	26,063	20,803	15,487	5,308	7,212	1,618	633	1,279	78,403
	October	25,823	20,717	15,507	5,310	7,176	1,614	632	1,270	78,049
	November	25,636	20,633	15,561	5,292	7,139	1,580	641	1,254	77,736
	December	25,539	20,572	15,669	5,260	7,131	1,526	661	1,239	77,597
2004	January	25,547	20,547	15,861	5,231	7,147	1,479	693	1,224	77,729
	February	25,624	20,527	16,138	5,211	7,183	1,463	725	1,214	78,085
	March	25,688	20,487	16,447	5,196	7,219	1,481	748	1,210	78,476
	April	25,650	20,423	16,721	5,187	7,269	1,526	757	1,207	78,740
	May	25,498	20,337	16,922	5,187	7,350	1,575	753	1,203	78,825
	June	25,335	20,276	17,064	5,200	7,467	1,616	745	1,197	78,900
	July	25,254	20,276	17,201	5,225	7,622	1,657	743	1,190	79,168
	August	25,216	20,320	17,320	5,256	7,796	1,697	745	1,181	79,531
	September	25,244	20,393	17,409	5,288	7,963	1,737	752	1,175	79,961